Bennu 2135/2182 orbits
- Visualizations by:
- Kel Elkins
- View full credits
On September 25, 2135, an asteroid called Bennu will make a close flyby of Earth. Our planet’s gravity will tweak Bennu’s path, making it a challenge to calculate its future trajectory. During the flyby, there is an extremely small chance that Bennu will pass through a “gravitational keyhole” – a region of space that would set it on just the right path to impact Earth, late in the 22nd century. Although it is difficult to determine the odds of this actually happening, new data from NASA’s OSIRIS-REx spacecraft have allowed scientists to better model how Bennu’s orbit will evolve over time, and to better calculate the probability of an impact. Now, a new paper from the OSIRIS-REx science team gives Bennu a 1:2700 (0.037%) chance of impacting Earth on September 24, 2182.
Please give credit for this item to:
NASA's Scientific Visualization Studio
- Kel Elkins (USRA) [Lead]
- Davide Farnocchia (JPL)
- Steven Chesley (JPL)
- Dan Gallagher (KBRwyle)
- James Tralie (ADNET)
- Ian Jones (ADNET)
- Laurence Schuler (ADNET)
Datasets used in this visualization
SPICE Ephemerides (A.K.A. SPICE Ephemerides)
Ephemeris | NASA/JPL
Satellite and planetary ephemeridesSee more visualizations using this data set
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