WEBVTT FILE 1 00:00:00.010 --> 00:00:04.090 2 00:00:04.110 --> 00:00:08.180 Who can tell what the future will be like? 3 00:00:08.200 --> 00:00:12.260 NASA scientists have combined data from several climate models, 4 00:00:12.280 --> 00:00:16.330 used by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, to show how patterns of temperature 5 00:00:16.350 --> 00:00:20.400 and precipitation could change through the end of the 21st century. 6 00:00:20.420 --> 00:00:24.440 This visualization shows the expected 7 00:00:24.460 --> 00:00:28.490 changes in temperature and precipitation we might see, 8 00:00:28.510 --> 00:00:32.510 compared to the average levels of the late 20th century. 9 00:00:32.530 --> 00:00:36.520 10 00:00:36.540 --> 00:00:40.650 The largest temperature increases are seen in the northern hemisphere. 11 00:00:40.670 --> 00:00:44.740 Across North America, areas that typically have snow, such as the Rocky Mountains 12 00:00:44.760 --> 00:00:48.820 and northern Canada, will see the earliest and largest 13 00:00:48.840 --> 00:00:52.920 temperature rise. The warming temperatures will eliminate the 14 00:00:52.940 --> 00:00:57.010 reflective and cooling effect of the white snow cover. 15 00:00:57.030 --> 00:01:01.100 This reduction in albedo is the reason why the Arctic region shows such dramatic warming, 16 00:01:01.120 --> 00:01:05.140 as the polar sea ice melts and the darker ocean water absorbs 17 00:01:05.160 --> 00:01:09.160 energy from the sun. 18 00:01:09.180 --> 00:01:17.190 In turn, the warmer water accelerates the melting of the sea ice. 19 00:01:17.210 --> 00:01:21.210 20 00:01:21.230 --> 00:01:25.310 21 00:01:25.330 --> 00:01:29.410 22 00:01:29.430 --> 00:01:33.430 23 00:01:33.450 --> 00:01:37.450 24 00:01:37.470 --> 00:01:41.470 25 00:01:41.490 --> 00:01:45.520 26 00:01:45.540 --> 00:01:49.530 All around the globe, the land areas show a greater increase in temperature 27 00:01:49.550 --> 00:01:53.560 than the surrounding ocean waters. 28 00:01:53.580 --> 00:01:57.570 Evaporation of the water helps to keep the ocean surface cool, 29 00:01:57.590 --> 00:02:01.590 and the deep depths of the ocean have a large capacity to absorb energy before heating up. 30 00:02:01.610 --> 00:02:05.690 31 00:02:05.710 --> 00:02:09.780 32 00:02:09.800 --> 00:02:13.850 33 00:02:13.870 --> 00:02:17.870 Off the coast of South America stretches an unusually warm patch of the Pacific Ocean. 34 00:02:17.890 --> 00:02:21.930 A cyclical occurrence, known as El NiƱo, causes more precipitation 35 00:02:21.950 --> 00:02:25.950 in that area of the Pacific, and affects the climate throughout the region. 36 00:02:25.970 --> 00:02:29.980 And we can see that happen in this visualization 37 00:02:30.000 --> 00:02:34.010 of changes in precipitation. Models project warmer waters 38 00:02:34.030 --> 00:02:38.030 and increased precipitation to stretch across the Pacific Ocean 39 00:02:38.050 --> 00:02:42.120 to Indonesia as the century progresses. 40 00:02:42.140 --> 00:02:46.210 41 00:02:46.230 --> 00:02:50.280 The monsoons over the Indian subcontinent will bring increased precipitation 42 00:02:50.300 --> 00:02:54.360 over a wider area, and eastern Africa 43 00:02:54.380 --> 00:02:58.410 and the savannas of the Sahel, could see precipitation increases up to 100%. 44 00:02:58.430 --> 00:03:02.450 At the same time, the Mediterranean will experience the opposite, 45 00:03:02.470 --> 00:03:06.480 a decrease over 40%. 46 00:03:06.500 --> 00:03:10.510 47 00:03:10.530 --> 00:03:14.520 48 00:03:14.540 --> 00:03:18.640 In general, the mid-latitude and sub-tropical dry regions are projected to see 49 00:03:18.660 --> 00:03:22.720 less precipitation, while the mid-latitude wet regions could see more precipitation. 50 00:03:22.740 --> 00:03:26.810 51 00:03:26.830 --> 00:03:30.870 The poles and high latitudes are expected to also have increased precipitation. 52 00:03:30.890 --> 00:03:34.940 For North America, the models indicate more precipitation in the north, 53 00:03:34.960 --> 00:03:39.000 and less in the south. 54 00:03:39.020 --> 00:03:43.040 55 00:03:43.060 --> 00:03:47.080 56 00:03:47.100 --> 00:03:52.913