1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.
2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.
3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.
TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.
", "items": [ { "id": 281043, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443271, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180_print.jpg", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180_print.jpg", "media_type": "Image", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1024, "height": 576, "pixels": 589824 } }, { "id": 281044, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443272, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180_searchweb.png", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180_searchweb.png", "media_type": "Image", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 320, "height": 180, "pixels": 57600 } }, { "id": 281045, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443273, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180_web.png", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180_web.png", "media_type": "Image", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 320, "height": 180, "pixels": 57600 } }, { "id": 281046, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443274, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180_thm.png", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180_thm.png", "media_type": "Image", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 80, "height": 40, "pixels": 3200 } }, { "id": 281033, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443268, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_1920x1080.mov", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_1920x1080.mov", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1920, "height": 1080, "pixels": 2073600 } }, { "id": 281034, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443266, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_1280x720.mov", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_1280x720.mov", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1280, "height": 720, "pixels": 921600 } }, { "id": 281035, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443276, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_NBC_Today.mov", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_NBC_Today.mov", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1920, "height": 1080, "pixels": 2073600 } }, { "id": 281036, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443263, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_WEA_CEN.wmv", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_WEA_CEN.wmv", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1280, "height": 720, "pixels": 921600 } }, { "id": 281037, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443269, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_Hurricane_2_converted.avi", "filename": "WC_Hurricane_2_converted.avi", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1280, "height": 720, "pixels": 921600 } }, { "id": 281038, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443265, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_baron.mp4", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_baron.mp4", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1920, "height": 1080, "pixels": 2073600 } }, { "id": 281039, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443264, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_prores.mov", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_prores.mov", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. 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Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 960, "height": 540, "pixels": 518400 } }, { "id": 281041, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443267, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1280x720.m4v", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1280x720.m4v", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1280, "height": 720, "pixels": 921600 } }, { "id": 281042, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443262, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180.m4v", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180.m4v", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1920, "height": 1080, "pixels": 2073600 } }, { "id": 281047, "type": "media", "extra_data": null, "title": null, "caption": null, "instance": { "id": 443275, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011872/WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180.webm", "filename": "WC_HurricaneDrought-1920-MASTER_iPad_1920x0180.webm", "media_type": "Movie", "alt_text": "LEAD: The first tropical storm of 2015 drenched North Carolina this week (May 10) with 6 inches of rain and 60 mph winds. Ana hit even before June 1, the official start date of the 2015 hurricane season. What’s ahead for the summer? Will it be like the past 9 years?1. Over the past 9 years there have been 59 Atlantic hurricanes. But during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 177 years, according to a new NASA study.2. Weaker storms than Category 3 can still be dangerous. Sandy in 2012, Irene in 2011 and Ike in 2008 together caused over 100 billion dollars of damage.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 1920, "height": 1080, "pixels": 2073600 } } ], "extra_data": {} }, { "id": 337771, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/11872/#media_group_337771", "widget": "Basic text", "title": "For More Information", "caption": "", "description": "See the following sources:\n\n* [http://www.nasa.gov/feature/no-major-us-hurricane-landfalls-in-nine-years-luck](http://www.nasa.gov/feature/no-major-us-hurricane-landfalls-in-nine-years-luck)\n* [www.nasa.gov/earthrightnow](www.nasa.gov/earthrightnow)\n* [www.nasa.gov/hurricanes](www.nasa.gov/hurricanes)", "items": [], "extra_data": {} } ], "studio": "GMS", "funding_sources": [ "PAO" ], "credits": [ { "role": "Producer", "people": [ { "name": "Howard Joe Witte", "employer": "ADNET Systems, Inc." } ] }, { "role": "Data visualizer", "people": [ { "name": "Greg Shirah", "employer": "NASA/GSFC" } ] }, { "role": "Scientist", "people": [ { "name": "Timothy Hall", "employer": "NASA/GSFC GISS" } ] }, { "role": "Video editor", "people": [ { "name": "Joy Ng", "employer": "USRA" } ] } ], "missions": [], "series": [], "tapes": [], "papers": [], "datasets": [], "nasa_science_categories": [ "Earth" ], "keywords": [ "Atmosphere", "Atmospheric Phenomena", "Earth Science", "HDTV", "Hurricane Track", "Hurricanes", "Natural hazards" ], "recommended_pages": [], "related": [ { "id": 4287, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/4287/", "page_type": "Visualization", "title": "Major Hurricane Drought: Nine Years Without a Major Hurricane Making US Landfall", "description": "Hurricane tracks from 1980 through 2014. Green tracks did not make landfall in US; yellow tracks made landfall but were not major hurricanes at the time; red tracks made landfall and were major hurricanes.This video is also available on our YouTube channel. || final_comp.2574_print.jpg (1024x576) [64.4 KB] || final_comp.2574_searchweb.png (320x180) [51.3 KB] || final_comp.webm (1920x1080) [6.2 MB] || final_comp.mp4 (1920x1080) [7.9 MB] || frames/1920x1080_16x9_30p/final_comp/ (1920x1080) [64.0 KB] || frames/1920x1080_16x9_30p/2015_final_comp/ (1920x1080) [64.0 KB] || final_comp.m4v (640x360) [4.2 MB] || ", "release_date": "2015-05-13T13:00:00-04:00", "update_date": "2023-05-03T13:49:43.593343-04:00", "main_image": { "id": 443458, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a000000/a004200/a004287/final_comp.2574_print.jpg", "filename": "final_comp.2574_print.jpg", "media_type": "Image", "alt_text": "Hurricane tracks from 1980 through 2014. Green tracks did not make landfall in US; yellow tracks made landfall but were not major hurricanes at the time; red tracks made landfall and were major hurricanes.This video is also available on our YouTube channel.", "width": 1024, "height": 576, "pixels": 589824 } }, { "id": 11870, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/11870/", "page_type": "Produced Video", "title": "What Are The Chances Of Another Katrina?", "description": "The U.S. hasn’t experienced the landfall of a Category 3 hurricane or larger since 2005, when Dennis, Katrina, Rita and Wilma all hit the U.S. coast. According to a new NASA study, a string of nine years without a major hurricane landfall in the U.S. is Iikely to come along only once every 177 years.The current nine-year “drought” is the longest period of time that has passed without a major hurricane making landfall in the U.S. since reliable records began in 1850, said Timothy Hall, a research scientist who studies hurricanes at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York.The National Hurricane Center calls any Category 3 or more intense hurricane a “major” storm. Hall and colleague Kelly Hereid, who works for ACE Tempest Re, a reinsurance firm based in Connecticut, ran a statistical hurricane model based on a record of Atlantic tropical cyclones from 1950 to 2012 and sea surface temperature data.The researchers ran 1,000 computer simulations of the period from 1950-2012 – in effect simulating 63,000 separate Atlantic hurricane seasons. They found that a nine-year period without a major landfall is likely to occur once every 177 years on average.While the study did not delve into the meteorological causes behind this lack of major hurricane landfalls, Hall said it appears it is a result of luck.Research: The frequency and duration of U.S. hurricane droughts.Journal: Geophysical Research Letters, May 5, 2015.Link to paper: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063652/full.Here is the YouTube video. || ", "release_date": "2015-05-13T13:00:00-04:00", "update_date": "2023-05-03T13:49:43.727071-04:00", "main_image": { "id": 443248, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011870/G2015-045-HurricaneDrought-1920-Master_youtube_hq_print.jpg", "filename": "G2015-045-HurricaneDrought-1920-Master_youtube_hq_print.jpg", "media_type": "Image", "alt_text": "According to a new NASA study, a string of nine years without a major hurricane landfall in the U.S. is Iikely to come along only once every 177 years. This video explains the findings of this study. For complete transcript, click here.", "width": 1024, "height": 576, "pixels": 589824 } }, { "id": 11871, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/11871/", "page_type": "Produced Video", "title": "Instagram: What Are The Chances Of Another Katrina?", "description": "The U.S. hasn’t experienced the landfall of a Category 3 hurricane or larger since 2005, when Dennis, Katrina, Rita and Wilma all hit the U.S. coast. According to a new NASA study, a string of nine years without a major hurricane landfall in the U.S. is Iikely to come along only once every 177 years.The current nine-year “drought” is the longest period of time that has passed without a major hurricane making landfall in the U.S. since reliable records began in 1850, said Timothy Hall, a research scientist who studies hurricanes at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York.The National Hurricane Center calls any Category 3 or more intense hurricane a “major” storm. Hall and colleague Kelly Hereid, who works for ACE Tempest Re, a reinsurance firm based in Connecticut, ran a statistical hurricane model based on a record of Atlantic tropical cyclones from 1950 to 2012 and sea surface temperature data.The researchers ran 1,000 computer simulations of the period from 1950-2012 – in effect simulating 63,000 separate Atlantic hurricane seasons. They found that a nine-year period without a major landfall is likely to occur once every 177 years on average.While the study did not delve into the meteorological causes behind this lack of major hurricane landfalls, Hall said it appears it is a result of luck.Research: The frequency and duration of U.S. hurricane droughts.Journal: Geophysical Research Letters, May 5, 2015.Link to paper: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063652/full.Here is the YouTube video. || ", "release_date": "2015-05-13T11:00:00-04:00", "update_date": "2023-05-03T13:49:43.822344-04:00", "main_image": { "id": 443257, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a011800/a011871/HurricaneDrought_INST_print.jpg", "filename": "HurricaneDrought_INST_print.jpg", "media_type": "Image", "alt_text": "For complete transcript, click here.", "width": 1024, "height": 1024, "pixels": 1048576 } } ], "sources": [], "products": [], "newer_versions": [ { "id": 12269, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/12269/", "page_type": "Produced Video", "title": "NASA On Air: Ten-Year Gap In Major Hurricanes Continues For U.S. (5/31/2016)", "description": "LEAD: Bonnie, the second tropical storm of the 2016 season, drenched parts of the Atlantic coast from Georgia to Rhode Island with up to 8 inches this past Memorial Day weekend. What’s ahead for the hurricane season of 2016?1. Over the past 10 years there have been 69 Atlantic hurricanes but during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 270 years, according to a NASA study.2. Storms less than Category 3, such as Sandy in 2012, can still be dangerous.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is a 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer. || IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1920x1080.00237_print.jpg (1024x576) [127.6 KB] || IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1920x1080.00237_searchweb.png (320x180) [76.1 KB] || IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1920x1080.00237_web.png (320x180) [76.1 KB] || IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1920x1080.00237_thm.png (80x40) [4.9 KB] || WSI_WEATHER_CHANNEL-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_1920x1080.mov (1920x1080) [338.3 MB] || WSI_WEATHER_CHANNEL-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_1280x720.mov (1280x720) [407.6 MB] || NBC_TODAY-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_NBC_Today.mov (1920x1080) [4.5 MB] || Weather_Central-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_Weather_Central.wmv (1280x720) [3.5 MB] || Accuweather_12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_Accuweather.avi (1280x720) [3.3 MB] || BARON_SERVICE-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_baron.mp4 (1920x1080) [12.3 MB] || WC_PRORES_422-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_prores.mov (1920x1080) [329.9 MB] || IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_960x540.m4v (960x540) [15.8 MB] || IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1280x720.m4v (1280x720) [30.0 MB] || IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1920x1080.m4v (1920x1080) [48.6 MB] || 12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602.webm (1080x606) [1.1 MB] || IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1920x1080.webm (1920x1080) [1.9 MB] || ", "release_date": "2016-05-31T16:00:00-04:00", "update_date": "2023-05-03T13:48:34.864063-04:00", "main_image": { "id": 423890, "url": "https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a012200/a012269/IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1920x1080.00237_print.jpg", "filename": "IPAD_DELIVERABLES-12269_NASAOnAir-2016HurricaneDrought_VX-126602_iPad_1920x1080.00237_print.jpg", "media_type": "Image", "alt_text": "LEAD: Bonnie, the second tropical storm of the 2016 season, drenched parts of the Atlantic coast from Georgia to Rhode Island with up to 8 inches this past Memorial Day weekend. What’s ahead for the hurricane season of 2016?1. Over the past 10 years there have been 69 Atlantic hurricanes but during that time no hurricanes of Category 3 or higher have hit the U.S. coastline. Such a string of lucky years is likely to happen only once in 270 years, according to a NASA study.2. Storms less than Category 3, such as Sandy in 2012, can still be dangerous.3. But what about this upcoming hurricane season? Statistical analysis indicates that for any given year there is a 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane landing across the U.S. coastline.TAG: But remember it only takes one storm in your area. Be prepared this summer.", "width": 576, "height": 1024, "pixels": 589824 } } ], "older_versions": [], "alternate_versions": [] }