1 00:00:00,010 --> 00:00:04,090 2 00:00:04,110 --> 00:00:08,180 Who can tell what the future will be like? 3 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:12,260 NASA scientists have combined data from several climate models, 4 00:00:12,280 --> 00:00:16,330 used by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, to show how patterns of temperature 5 00:00:16,350 --> 00:00:20,400 and precipitation could change through the end of the 21st century. 6 00:00:20,420 --> 00:00:24,440 This visualization shows the expected 7 00:00:24,460 --> 00:00:28,490 changes in temperature and precipitation we might see, 8 00:00:28,510 --> 00:00:32,510 compared to the average levels of the late 20th century. 9 00:00:32,530 --> 00:00:36,520 10 00:00:36,540 --> 00:00:40,650 The largest temperature increases are seen in the northern hemisphere. 11 00:00:40,670 --> 00:00:44,740 Across North America, areas that typically have snow, such as the Rocky Mountains 12 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:48,820 and northern Canada, will see the earliest and largest 13 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:52,920 temperature rise. The warming temperatures will eliminate the 14 00:00:52,940 --> 00:00:57,010 reflective and cooling effect of the white snow cover. 15 00:00:57,030 --> 00:01:01,100 This reduction in albedo is the reason why the Arctic region shows such dramatic warming, 16 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:05,140 as the polar sea ice melts and the darker ocean water absorbs 17 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:09,160 energy from the sun. 18 00:01:09,180 --> 00:01:17,190 In turn, the warmer water accelerates the melting of the sea ice. 19 00:01:17,210 --> 00:01:21,210 20 00:01:21,230 --> 00:01:25,310 21 00:01:25,330 --> 00:01:29,410 22 00:01:29,430 --> 00:01:33,430 23 00:01:33,450 --> 00:01:37,450 24 00:01:37,470 --> 00:01:41,470 25 00:01:41,490 --> 00:01:45,520 26 00:01:45,540 --> 00:01:49,530 All around the globe, the land areas show a greater increase in temperature 27 00:01:49,550 --> 00:01:53,560 than the surrounding ocean waters. 28 00:01:53,580 --> 00:01:57,570 Evaporation of the water helps to keep the ocean surface cool, 29 00:01:57,590 --> 00:02:01,590 and the deep depths of the ocean have a large capacity to absorb energy before heating up. 30 00:02:01,610 --> 00:02:05,690 31 00:02:05,710 --> 00:02:09,780 32 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,850 33 00:02:13,870 --> 00:02:17,870 Off the coast of South America stretches an unusually warm patch of the Pacific Ocean. 34 00:02:17,890 --> 00:02:21,930 A cyclical occurrence, known as El NiƱo, causes more precipitation 35 00:02:21,950 --> 00:02:25,950 in that area of the Pacific, and affects the climate throughout the region. 36 00:02:25,970 --> 00:02:29,980 And we can see that happen in this visualization 37 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:34,010 of changes in precipitation. Models project warmer waters 38 00:02:34,030 --> 00:02:38,030 and increased precipitation to stretch across the Pacific Ocean 39 00:02:38,050 --> 00:02:42,120 to Indonesia as the century progresses. 40 00:02:42,140 --> 00:02:46,210 41 00:02:46,230 --> 00:02:50,280 The monsoons over the Indian subcontinent will bring increased precipitation 42 00:02:50,300 --> 00:02:54,360 over a wider area, and eastern Africa 43 00:02:54,380 --> 00:02:58,410 and the savannas of the Sahel, could see precipitation increases up to 100%. 44 00:02:58,430 --> 00:03:02,450 At the same time, the Mediterranean will experience the opposite, 45 00:03:02,470 --> 00:03:06,480 a decrease over 40%. 46 00:03:06,500 --> 00:03:10,510 47 00:03:10,530 --> 00:03:14,520 48 00:03:14,540 --> 00:03:18,640 In general, the mid-latitude and sub-tropical dry regions are projected to see 49 00:03:18,660 --> 00:03:22,720 less precipitation, while the mid-latitude wet regions could see more precipitation. 50 00:03:22,740 --> 00:03:26,810 51 00:03:26,830 --> 00:03:30,870 The poles and high latitudes are expected to also have increased precipitation. 52 00:03:30,890 --> 00:03:34,940 For North America, the models indicate more precipitation in the north, 53 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:39,000 and less in the south. 54 00:03:39,020 --> 00:03:43,040 55 00:03:43,060 --> 00:03:47,080 56 00:03:47,100 --> 00:03:52,913